Biden, Bumps, BFFs & Canadian Reax: Episode #35 Recap
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More Dem Post-Game: When Is a Bump a Bump?
Margie: “Clinton won the Democratic debate, but polling shows mixed results in terms of a true bump. Some polls, like NBC/Survey Monkey and HuffPost/YouGov, show her gaining, while others suggest a more stable race.”
Kristen: “The Globe/WMUR and Bloomberg/Purple polls in New Hampshire provide nuanced insights, especially on how Sanders continues to hold ground.”
GOP Debate Pre-Game
Kristen: “On the Republican side, many thought Trump’s bubble would burst. But NBC/WSJ and CNN/ORC polling suggest he’s still holding strong. Bloomberg Politics also highlights his ongoing dominance.”
Bumps for Boehner and the Pope
Margie: “Pope Francis and John Boehner both saw their favorables improve after their meeting. Gallup data shows how impactful these public moments can be.”
Victory for Pollsters in Canada
Kristen: “Canadian pollsters nailed the popular vote predictions. We spoke to Elizabeth Sena from GQRR about her work in the ridings.”
The Latest on Guns
Margie: “After every tragic shooting, polling on guns resurfaces. Gallup’s recent data shows mixed results, including shifts in views on single-issue voters and concealed weapons.”
Millennial Parents
Kristen: “Millennials continue to redefine parenting, from gender-neutral toys to social media habits. For more insights, pick up my book, The Selfie Vote.”
Key Findings
The Democratic debate highlights Clinton’s strength, but the bump isn’t universal.
Trump’s bubble remains intact, despite predictions of a collapse.
Pope Francis and John Boehner demonstrate the power of post-event bumps.
Canadian pollsters get it right, nailing the popular vote.
Gun polling shows a divided electorate, with single-issue voters leaning GOP.
Millennials are reshaping parenting trends and making Margie feel young!
Listen to the Full Episode
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