#48: Political ads, FiveThirtyEight, & UK/Canada updates

“From Democratic polling shifts to FiveThirtyEight insights and tech culture issues, this episode dives into key topics.”

Political Ads, FiveThirtyEight, & UK/Canada Updates: Episode #48 Recap

Welcome back, listeners! Don’t forget this week’s micro-assignment: send us a polling 101 question for our upcoming explainer episode. Let’s dive into this week’s topics.

2016 Democratic Primary

Margie: “The Democratic race continues to shift. We analyze polls from Huffington Post, Selzer/Bloomberg, and Democratic insiders in Politico.”

2016 GOP Primary

Kristen: “Despite the recent debate, polling shows little change. Is there Kasich-mentum? We explore data from NBC/WSJ, Huffington Post, and MassINC/WBUR.”

Interview with Carl Bialik

Margie: “We talk with Carl Bialik from FiveThirtyEight about forecasting, polling pollsters, and the evolving methodologies shaping political analysis.”

UK Election Polling: What Went Wrong?

Kristen: “New reports from BPC, The Guardian, and Huffington Post provide insights into the polling misses in the UK’s recent elections.”

Elephant in the Valley

Margie: “A majority of women in tech report facing unwanted advances. We discuss the ‘Elephant in the Valley’ study and its implications.”

Polling in Canada

Kristen: “A look at privilege and civic engagement in Canada highlights new angles on polling trends.”

Ask a Millennial: Judge Judy on SCOTUS?

Margie: “We ask a Millennial if Judge Judy belongs on the Supreme Court and explore the role of civic engagement among college grads.”

Key Findings

• The Democratic race remains volatile, with fluctuating predictions for Iowa and New Hampshire.
• The GOP side sees little movement post-debate, though Kasich gains some momentum.
• Polling analysis from FiveThirtyEight and new UK reports offer valuable lessons for the industry.
• Tech culture faces scrutiny as studies reveal widespread issues for women in the workplace.
• Judge Judy on SCOTUS? Civic engagement studies prompt reflection on public knowledge and engagement.

Listen to the Full Episode

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