#65: A good pollster says: “You’re going to die”

What the heck is AAPOR? Well, just a whole lot of awesome! Kristen gives us
a report. And we report from a hotel hallway, so apologies for the sounds
of conference-goers in the background. Poll of the week: What’s in a
name? Washington Post updates an older poll of Native Americans about the
name of the local football team. There’s a difference between finding a
term offensive and being bothered about a team’s use of it. Regardless, it
seems like good news for Dan Snyder. And the methodology is just as
interesting. 2016: We’ve got questions! Polls have answers (maybe) Okay,
Trump may be the nominee, but can he really win? Is he bringing new
Republicans to the polls? Or is he going to hurt the Republican party
downballot (& Ryan)? Is Sanders hurting Clinton? Who should Clinton pick as
her VP? What about a third party? What do other pollsters & poll-watchers
say? “You’re going to die” The national race between Clinton and Trump
is narrowing, per Huffington Post. Dems want Sanders as HRC’s VP, says
Rasmussen Is sanders hurting clinton? Margie gives a shrug emoji, and not
sure what to make of Huffington Post fav ratings Steve Shepard on pollsters
trying to figure out trump, with smart thoughts from Kristen & Mark
Blumenthal. Breaking! Trump has a pollster! An actual pollster! Who some
say woudl be able to say “you’re going to die.” Well, that seems like a
good skill for 2015! Is Trump expanding the party? (spoiler: no.) Chris
Cilizza on “truly independent” poll: “truly terrible.” Meanwhile, is Trump
hurting Paul Ryan’s numbers? PPP asks. Pew on the sharing economy Some
Americans have done none of these, according to Pew. Margie has done a
chunk of them in the last 24 hours. Pew on the sharing economy Graduation
gifts: Congrad-uations! Get it? You’re going to get lots of cash, survey
says. NRF on graduation spending. Key findings There’s a diff between
offensive and bothersome. But I’d love to hear more research about Native
Americans think beyond just the team name. Trump’s got a pollster! And it’s
not himself! Expect those poll-tested tweets any day now. We truly
appreciate people like Chris Cilizza weighing in on poll questions. Truly.
Are you a regular part of the sharing economy? That would make you not
quite like most Americans? Congrats to our grad listeners! Expect cash! Not
from us–from us you can get an RT–but cash from everyone else.

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#65: A good pollster says: “You’re going to die”

Hey listeners, it’s Kristen and Margie here, and we’re coming to you live from a hotel hallway at AAPOR—so apologies for the background noise from all the conference-goers! But trust us, this episode is packed with exciting insights from the world of polling.

This week, we dive into an interesting poll from the Washington Post, updating an older poll of Native Americans about the name of the local football team. The results show a difference between finding a term offensive and just being bothered by its use. It’s a fascinating conversation on the methodology and implications for team names in America today. And spoiler: it’s actually good news for Dan Snyder!

Next up, we tackle the 2016 election with some big questions about Trump’s candidacy. Can he really win? Is he bringing new Republicans into the fold or hurting the party downballot? And what about Sanders? Is he hurting Clinton’s chances? We talk about it all, with some sharp insights from pollsters like Mark Blumenthal and Kristen herself. And yes, Trump has a pollster now! We’ll let you know how that’s going—plus, we discuss some interesting findings from Pew about the sharing economy.

And of course, we give our listeners a special shout-out for all those graduation gifts—cash is coming your way! But don’t expect cash from us…you’ll get an RT, though. You’re welcome!

Episode Page: Listen to the full episode here.

MP3 File: